Saturday, December 1, 2007

Last month was extremely dry in many parts of New Zealand, especially in the South Island

Dr, anthropogenic global warming, Salinger, says there is no respite in sight ...

Meanwhile, much of the South Island is facing the definite possibility of a summer drought, with NIWA's Seasonal Climate Outlook saying La Nina conditions are in full swing.
NIWA agricultural climatologist Alan Porteous says the problem farmers currently face is that soil moisture levels in the east of the country and parts of Otago have already reached summer deficits.
Farmers could be facing a drought as devastating as in 1988/89, according to the climate outlook.
Are we to understand that Kiehl (Reference: Jeffrey T. Kiehl, 2007. Twentieth century climate model response and climate sensitivity. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 34, L22710, doi:10.1029/2007GL031383, 2007) is arguing that the various GCMs are akin to a zero sum game in which, no matter how the key variables are changed (GCM=global climate models). The end result is always the same because the data is fitted to the “temperature record”, what ever that is ... The temperatures are not used as inputs. They are used to “check” outputs i.e. to define acceptable research... sooooo ... Jim Salinger, NIWA, perhaps Augie had more than a little insight in to your political posturings?

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